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Re: Being "scientific" about segnosaurs



About 6 or 7 months ago, when I knew a whole lot less about this stuff, Mickey Mortimer tested some alternative topologies. He clearly showed that segnosauroids are neotheropods (that was a slam dunk), and I was even convinced that they are closely allied with maniraptors. In my opinion he falsified any notion that segnosaurs were non-coelurosaurian or that they are polyphyetic.
However, I've continued to maintain Beipiaosaurus as a separate plesion and coded it as sister group to the other segnosaurs (reflecting the probably holophyly of this group). However, the notion that "enigmosaurs" are a holophyletic is not nearly as strongly supported, and a paraphyletic "enigmosauria" has not been falsified even by Mickey Mortimer.
Once he finishes his new analysis a month or two down the line, I will certainly be paying close attention to those results. But my prediction is that even if the most parsimonious trees still show a holophyletic "enigmosauria", that there will also be trees almost as parsimonious with segnosaurs splitting off as a separate clade before the caenagnathiform clade. In that case, I would not consider my alternative yet falsified, because evolution does not always take the most parsimonious path.
Anyway, by the time he finishes his analysis, I hope to have more characters that support my alternative topology, and I think another discussion of these matters would be fruitful at that time. I trust Mickey's analytical approach a great deal, and he may well convince me to re-admit the segnosaurs who are now "pounding at the door". But I will also be reviewing Sereno's reasons for excluding them from Maniraptora (I am certainly not alone in questioning the holophyly of "enigmosauria"). It should be an interesting debate.
------ Cheers, Ken


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