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KT Bolide--Comet or Meteorite?
Within the last two days (that's already 80 messages back) some of us
have made appropriately careful references to the KT "bolide". I've spent
some time now, guided by Mary, going through our archives back to 96 and
that thread, before posing this question. Assuming for the moment that
there was a bolide: what was its nature? Alvarez is careful to use the
term "bolide" in his popular 1997 summation, T Rex and the Crater of
Doom. Since a comet would have become part of the vapor plume on impact,
he seems to think we can never discover if the bolide was comet or
meteorite. But by the next year, J. L. Powellin Night Comes to the
Cretaceous, almost always says "meteorite" without discussing why. We've
spoken a great deal on this list about leaps of logic and standards of
proof. 1. Has anyone else noticed an unexamined consensus forming, among
believers, that it was a meteorite? 2. Was there any discussion? Now I'm
well aware that our archives include two news stories about a fragment of
"the KT meteorite" supposedly found. My point is, Alvarez's believers
(like myself) had ever agreed it was a meteorite. Mary, again, graciously
forwarded me Frank Kyte's Nature article about his find, and the only
evidence that Dr. Kyte presented was that since it was a meteorite and it
was at/near the KT, well, what else could it be? Though it was 5000 miles
from Chicxulub. Here's my point: I wanted to believe Kyte. And that's not
good, logically. But there are inducements. If I stick to comet, no
fragment, no proof ever will be found. But if I say, meteorite, a
fragment can be found; and apparently any fragment we do find, anywhere,
now becomes "proof." So I have a motive to start to say meteorite. On the
other hand, saying it was a comet is a non falsifiable statement, isn't
it? It has to have become part of the vapor plume in the great heat
generated by impact. Wouldn't Popper rebuke me for saying comet, since it
can never be falsified or verified? Our list is very fond of Popper, but
that's a problem, isn't it? It interests me how "science" here is coming
down to an issue of analytic philosophy, and even of psychology, the
human motivation to support one's argument. I would be grateful, then, if
anyone can inform me of any evidence they've heard presented that it was
comet or meteorite; or even of discussions about it. Thanks.
Best,
George
George J. Leonard
Professor of Interdisciplinary Humanities
530 Humanities Hall
San Francisco State University
San Francisco, CA